I can suggest several potential headwinds that the TON network might face over the next few days due to the Hamster Kombat airdrop. First of all, there is a risk of a significant slowdown in the speed of transactions and an increase in the time required for confirmation. This could result in strong dissatisfaction and irritation among users who would encounter unexpected difficulties when trying to get or use their tokens after trading starts up. People who expected a fast and smooth process may experience disappointment due to delays and technical glitches, which may negatively affect their attitude towards the project as a whole.
In addition, a high load could cause temporary failures in the operation of some nodes or even short-term network outages if the validators are unable to cope with the volume of transactions. This may negatively affect TON's reputation as a scalable blockchain.
For ordinary TON users not involved in the airdrop, it could mean a temporary deterioration in the performance of the blockchain’s services and apps. Transaction fees could go up, which would make using the network less profitable these days.
As for the TON price, the situation is different. On the one hand, the successful implementation of the largest cryptocurrency airdrop in history could attract the attention of investors and lead to a rally. On the other hand, if the network cannot cope with the load and serious problems arise, it could undermine confidence in the project and lead to a flash crash.
It should also be noted that some users can exchange HMSTR tokens for TON or sell them for USDT. We can expect to see heightened volatility in the TON price over this period. However, the use of new Mintless Jettons technology could help smooth out network and congestion problems and demonstrate TON's technical superiority, which in the long run could positively affect the value of the token.